Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.040901 1.297977 1.582136 1.916569 2.296453 2.711739 3.197204
2025-06-08 0.673483 1.001066 1.404031 1.922717 2.559389 3.302874 4.223985
2025-06-15 0.482947 0.851622 1.352094 2.047047 2.953950 4.066377 5.502577
2025-06-22 0.338561 0.715471 1.280211 2.121548 3.279819 4.760028 6.735381
2025-06-29 0.230502 0.593650 1.195943 2.155519 3.542006 5.378018 7.897374
2025-07-06 0.144209 0.470870 1.077873 2.114567 3.685351 5.836618 8.865202
2025-07-13 0.095123 0.395277 1.015977 2.142284 3.917491 6.415329 10.003186
2025-07-20 0.060673 0.331259 0.956751 2.160419 4.128271 6.965481 11.113816
2025-07-27 0.033313 0.262123 0.867121 2.110301 4.223797 7.349124 12.002166
2025-08-03 0.016666 0.206576 0.787623 2.062533 4.312458 7.718695 12.874309
2025-08-10 0.008498 0.172104 0.744858 2.073993 4.492531 8.223547 13.944538
2025-08-17 0.002961 0.132675 0.673988 2.017979 4.551781 8.544629 14.756289
2025-08-24 0.001393 0.120333 0.676279 2.114098 4.881402 9.295557 16.218949
2025-08-31 0.000287 0.097973 0.638791 2.120390 5.053721 9.809839 17.351082
2025-09-07 0.000085 0.093053 0.657961 2.253097 5.457193 10.695307 19.045972
2025-09-14 0.000004 0.082898 0.654162 2.332544 5.767007 11.440755 20.547996
2025-09-21 NaN 0.069987 0.633284 2.368744 5.997686 12.065257 21.880926
2025-09-28 NaN 0.052795 0.582665 2.325029 6.074583 12.443013 22.849778
2025-10-05 NaN 0.043670 0.562967 2.354590 6.290037 13.048301 24.169811
2025-10-12 NaN 0.035388 0.540872 2.373930 6.484624 13.621776 25.448444
2025-10-19 NaN 0.025065 0.494675 2.320455 6.531181 13.949730 26.355618
2025-10-26 NaN 0.017215 0.452449 2.269465 6.577356 14.275345 27.261851
2025-11-02 NaN 0.013087 0.433210 2.281698 6.751636 14.819255 28.512867